I work on the financial and institutional architecture of security.
I study how states and alliances build the economic resilience and industrial capacity to deter adversaries.
I identify the gaps that create strategic vulnerabilities and investment opportunities.
In my professional work, I help organizations navigate complex security and market environments by grounding strategy in institutional reality. In practice, that means identifying the capital constraints, trade chokepoints, and procurement bottlenecks that shape technological adoption, policy implementation, and deal closure. I have worked on this problem space inside EU institutions in Brussels, a development bank in Warsaw, a strategic advisory and venture firm in Washington, D.C., and a dual-use defense startup in New York.
My work brings institutional realism to market entry, investment, and growth strategy by recognizing that messy realities rather than neat theories determine outcomes. That means mapping the real power graph and translating it across technical, policy, and commercial contexts before the window closes.
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My writing has appeared in The National Interest, EurasiaNet, The Columbia Journal of International Affairs, Responsible Statecraft, The American Conservative, and The Chesterton Review.
I use quantitative and data-driven tools (including Python, Pandas, and SQL) to analyze financial, industrial, and security problems, grounding strategic judgment in empirical reality rather than abstraction.
This site collects selected publications, talks, and current projects.
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I have held fellowships with the John Quincy Adams Society, where my work articulated a practical framework for bolstering NATO preparedness rooted in economic realism and modular security cooperation. I built early operating experience in defense tech through a Fellowship with Pallas Advisors, where I supported investment diligence, market entry, and positioning strategies for defense and dual-use technology companies looking to grow their sales footprint with DoD and the IC. While in Brussels, I was a European Leadership Fellow with the Jesuit European Social Centre and built relationships across the European Commission, Council of Europe, and European Parliament.
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I am a dual U.S. and EU citizen and have lived and worked in Brussels, Belgium; New York; Strasbourg, France; St. Paul, Minnesota; Warsaw, Poland; and Washington, D.C. I have also studied and traveled extensively in East Africa and Central Europe.
Languages:
• Fluent: English, Polish, Spanish
• Advanced: Russian, French, Latin
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Anthony J. Tokarz 